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Gold

Gold's Share of Global Reserves Hits 27%, Overtaking US Treasuries for the First Time in Decades

Outlook: Bullish · September 18, 2026
Gold's Share of Global Reserves Hits 27%, Overtaking US Treasuries for the First Time in Decades

Gold's share of global central bank reserves rose to 27% by the end of 2025, overtaking US Treasuries' 22%, as Poland, Kazakhstan, Brazil and Azerbaijan led a widening shift away from dollar-denominated reserves.

At a glance

  • Gold's share of global official reserves rose to 27% by the end of 2025, overtaking US Treasuries' 22% -- a crossover last seen decades ago, before the dollar's gold backing ended in 1971.
  • About two-thirds of the increase reflects gold's own price gain (60% in 2025, 30% in 2024); adjusted for that, gold and the euro are roughly tied at 16% each, with Treasuries still leading at 26%.
  • Central banks bought 863.3 tonnes of gold in 2025, down 21% from 2024's 1,092.4 tonnes but still nearly double the 2010-2021 annual average of 473 tonnes.
  • Poland was the single largest buyer for a second consecutive year, adding 102 tonnes to reach 550 tonnes (28% of its reserves), with a stated target of 700 tonnes for national-security reasons.

What happened

Gold has overtaken US Treasuries as the single largest asset class in global central bank reserves, according to the European Central Bank's (ECB) semiannual review of the euro's international standing, published June 2, 2026. Bullion accounted for 27% of official reserve assets worldwide at the end of 2025, up from 20% a year earlier, while US Treasuries slipped to 22% from 25% over the same period. Roughly two-thirds of that jump reflects gold's own price surge -- bullion gained about 60% in 2025 on top of a 30% rise in 2024 -- rather than fresh buying alone; stripped of valuation effects and priced at 2023 levels, gold and the euro are roughly tied at 16% each, with Treasuries still comfortably ahead at 26%. The underlying buying, though, has been real and broad. World Gold Council (WGC) data show central banks added 863.3 tonnes of gold in 2025, and Poland's central bank led every other buyer for a second straight year, adding 102 tonnes to lift its reserves to 550 tonnes -- 28% of its total holdings -- with Governor Adam Glapinski targeting 700 tonnes for what he has called reasons of national security. Kazakhstan added 57 tonnes, its largest annual purchase since 1993, and Brazil returned to the market with 43 tonnes after sitting out since 2021. Azerbaijan's State Oil Fund added 38 tonnes. Several of these buyers trace their reasoning back to February 2022, when the United States and its allies froze roughly $300 billion of Russia's foreign-currency reserves over the invasion of Ukraine -- an event that showed reserve managers everywhere that assets held in another country's financial system can be seized by that country's own government.

The details

Start with what actually changed, not just the headline. The European Central Bank's semiannual review of the euro's global standing found that gold's 27% share of world reserve assets at the end of 2025 topped US Treasuries' 22%. Two forces produced that number, and they don't carry equal weight. Bullion itself gained roughly 60% in 2025 on top of a 30% rise in 2024, and because central banks report reserves at current market value, a price rally alone inflates gold's share even if not one additional ounce gets bought. Strip that valuation effect out and hold gold at its end-2023 price instead, and the picture changes: gold and the euro are essentially tied at 16% apiece, with Treasuries still the largest single holding at 26%. The milestone is real, but it is a price story as much as a buying story, and conflating the two overstates how much central banks have actually reallocated.

What isn't just a price effect is the physical tonnage moving into vaults, and Poland's central bank did more of that than anyone else in 2025. The National Bank of Poland added 102 tonnes over the year, its second straight year atop the World Gold Council's buyer rankings, lifting its reserves to 550 tonnes -- 28% of everything it holds. Governor Adam Glapinski has said the bank intends to keep going to 700 tonnes, and by mid-2026 it had already added a further 82 tonnes toward that goal. He has framed the target in security terms rather than portfolio theory, describing it as part of "the state's role in ensuring the security of Poland and Poles under all circumstances." That framing tracks Poland's position on NATO's eastern flank, and its gold-buying pace has followed the war in Ukraine almost step for step since 2022.

Poland isn't buying alone, and the rest of the list is telling in its own right. Kazakhstan added 57 tonnes in 2025, its largest annual purchase since 1993, with its central bank saying plainly that it wants "to stay a net gold buyer until global tensions ease." Brazil returned to the gold market for the first time since 2021, buying 43 tonnes and pushing bullion to about 7% of its reserves. Azerbaijan's State Oil Fund added 38 tonnes. None of these four is a G7 economy, and none sits especially close to Moscow -- which is itself the point. China's own accumulation, still running at a record pace into 2026, made the initial case that a major economy could shift meaningfully into gold. Poland, Kazakhstan, Brazil and Azerbaijan buying at the same time, for reasons their own officials describe in nearly identical language, is what turns one country's strategy into a market-wide one.

Turkey shows the other side of the same coin. In the two weeks after the Middle East conflict escalated around Iran in late March 2026, Turkey's central bank sold and swapped roughly 118 tonnes of its own gold -- worth more than $8 billion at the time -- to defend the Turkish lira and shore up foreign-exchange liquidity. Governor Fatih Karahan called it a "proactive, flexible, and controlled" use of reserves, not a change of strategy. Reserves that can be frozen by a foreign government aren't available in a crisis; reserves held at home and drawn down on a central bank's own decision are. Turkey's sale runs on the same logic as Poland's purchases, just applied to the opposite need.

None of this is happening in a vacuum. The reference point every one of these central banks keeps coming back to, directly or not, is February 2022, when the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom and Japan froze roughly $300 billion of Russia's foreign-currency reserves over its invasion of Ukraine. That single event told every other reserve manager something they'd mostly treated as theoretical: a bond or a bank deposit held in another country's financial system answers to that country's laws, not the owner's. Gold sitting in a domestic vault doesn't have that problem. For an Indian reader tracking daily rupee gold rates, the connection to Poland's target or Kazakhstan's governor is indirect but real -- it's the same price-insensitive, multi-year institutional demand that has kept gold's structural floor firm through 2026, now arriving from a wider and more geographically scattered set of buyers than a year ago.

Why it matters

Central bank reserve decisions move over years, not days, but they set a floor under gold demand that doesn't depend on any single week's headlines. A widening group of buyers -- not just China, but Poland, Kazakhstan, Brazil and Azerbaijan, each citing tensions or security explicitly -- shows gold's role as a reserve asset has broadened beyond a single country's story. For anyone watching the daily Indian gold rate, that broader base is one reason gold has kept a structural bid even on days its own price isn't moving.

Our read

Outlook: bullish. A broadening base of central bank buyers beyond China -- Poland, Kazakhstan, Brazil and Azerbaijan -- each citing security or geopolitical reasons explicitly, reinforces the structural, price-insensitive demand case for gold. Confidence is held short of the high 70s/80s because roughly two-thirds of the headline reserve-share milestone reflects 2025's gold price rally rather than fresh buying, and Turkey's rapid March 2026 drawdown shows central banks will sell gold quickly under acute stress.

What to watch

  • The ECB's next semiannual review of the euro's international role, for whether gold's reserve share holds above Treasuries once 2026 price moves are counted
  • World Gold Council full-year 2026 central bank survey data, to see whether Poland, Kazakhstan, Brazil and Azerbaijan keep buying at a similar pace
  • Poland's progress toward its stated 700-tonne target
  • Further central bank gold sales or swaps tied to acute currency or liquidity stress, following Turkey's March 2026 drawdown

For information only, not investment advice.

Gold price in India

Current Price₹14,921.91/g
Day Change+0.00%
Month Change-4.06%
Year Change+23.85%

metalscost.com India reference price as of 2026-10-03.

Detailed analysis

Timeline

  • 2022-02-28: The United States and allied governments freeze roughly $300 billion of Russia's foreign-currency reserves following its invasion of Ukraine, an event several central banks now cite directly as a reason to diversify into gold.
  • 2026-03-26: Turkey's central bank sells and swaps roughly 118 tonnes of gold over two weeks to defend the lira after the Middle East conflict involving Iran escalates.
  • 2026-06-02: The European Central Bank publishes its semiannual review showing gold's share of global reserves reached 27% at the end of 2025, overtaking US Treasuries' 22%.
  • 2026-07-10: Reporting shows Poland's central bank has already added 82 tonnes of gold in the first half of 2026, on pace to match its 2025 total, with Governor Adam Glapinski targeting 700 tonnes overall.

Central Banks

Poland led all central bank gold buyers for a second consecutive year in 2025, adding 102 tonnes to reach 550 tonnes (28% of its reserves), with a stated target of 700 tonnes. Kazakhstan added 57 tonnes, its largest annual purchase since 1993; Brazil returned to the market with 43 tonnes after a four-year pause; and Azerbaijan's State Oil Fund added 38 tonnes. Global central banks bought 863.3 tonnes in total in 2025, down 21% from 2024's 1,092.4 tonnes but still nearly double the 2010-2021 annual average of 473 tonnes. Turkey moved the opposite way, selling and swapping about 118 tonnes over two weeks in March 2026 to defend the lira.

Currency Impact

US Treasuries' share of global official reserves fell to 22% by the end of 2025 from 25% a year earlier, while the dollar's overall share across all reserve forms held near 42%. Gold's reported 27% share overtook Treasuries for the first time in the ECB's published data, though roughly two-thirds of that shift reflects gold's own approximately 60% price gain in 2025 rather than net reserve reallocation -- adjusted for that valuation effect, gold and the euro are roughly tied at 16% each, with Treasuries still leading at 26%.

Geopolitical Risks

The reserve shift traces back to February 2022, when the United States and its allies froze roughly $300 billion of Russia's foreign-currency reserves over the invasion of Ukraine, demonstrating that reserves held abroad answer to the custodian country's laws. Poland's governor has framed its gold target explicitly around national security given the country's proximity to the war in Ukraine, and Kazakhstan's governor has tied continued buying directly to whether global tensions ease. Turkey's rapid gold drawdown to defend the lira after the March 2026 escalation of the conflict involving Iran shows the same asset serving as a liquidity buffer under acute stress, not just a long-term hedge.

What could lift prices

  • Gold's buyer base among central banks has visibly broadened beyond China -- Poland, Kazakhstan, Brazil and Azerbaijan all added meaningfully in 2025, each citing tension or security reasons in similar language.
  • Poland's stated target of 700 tonnes is still 150 tonnes above its current 550-tonne holding, implying more buying ahead from 2025's single largest purchaser if the bank follows through.
  • US Treasuries' reserve share has now fallen for a second consecutive year (25% to 22%), a slow but consistent trend rather than a one-off move.

What could weigh on prices

  • Roughly two-thirds of gold's headline reserve-share gain reflects its own 2025 price rally rather than new buying; a price pullback would mechanically shrink that reported share even if every central bank's physical holdings stayed exactly the same.
  • Total 2025 central bank tonnage fell 21% from 2024's record, and Turkey's rapid 118-tonne drawdown in March 2026 is a reminder that gold reserves get sold, not just accumulated, when a central bank needs liquidity fast.

Country impact

CountryImpactReason
PolandHighPoland's central bank has been the single largest sovereign gold buyer for two straight years, explicitly tying the purchases to national security given its position on NATO's eastern border.
KazakhstanMediumKazakhstan posted its largest annual gold purchase in more than three decades, with its central bank explicitly linking the pace of buying to the state of global tensions.
TurkeyMediumTurkey demonstrated the flip side of the same reserve strategy, rapidly drawing down gold holdings to defend its currency during a regional escalation rather than accumulating.
United StatesMediumUS Treasuries' share of global reserves slipped as gold's rose, part of a broader, gradual erosion in the dollar system's dominance of official reserve holdings.
BrazilLowBrazil returned to the gold market for the first time since 2021, marking a policy re-entry among Latin America's central banks in the same broader diversification wave.
RussiaLowThe 2022 freezing of Russia's reserves remains the reference event nearly every diversifying central bank in this story points back to, even though Russia itself is not among 2025's major buyers in the data reviewed.

Industry impact

IndustryEffectReason
Investment and Wealth ManagementPositiveA widening, price-insensitive base of official-sector gold buyers reinforces gold's institutional role as a reserve and portfolio hedge asset beyond any single country's buying story.

Who gains, who loses

  • Gold-diversifying central banks and their reserve credibility: Holding a larger share of reserves in an asset not exposed to another government's jurisdiction reduces a central bank's vulnerability to the kind of freeze Russia experienced in 2022.
  • Gold miners and bullion suppliers: Sustained, price-insensitive official-sector buying across a widening group of countries adds a demand base that doesn't depend on investor sentiment.
  • The US Treasury market's role as the default reserve asset: Treasuries' share of global reserves has fallen for two straight years as gold's share has risen, part of a gradual shift that reduces guaranteed foreign demand for US government debt.

Other ways this could play out

  • If Poland, Kazakhstan and other 2025 buyers continue toward their stated targets while gold's price holds near current levels, gold's reserve share could extend further above Treasuries' rather than proving a one-year anomaly.
  • If gold's price cools from its 2025 highs, the valuation-driven portion of gold's reserve-share gain could partly reverse even without any central bank selling, making the reserve-share milestone look less durable than the headline number implies.

Price risks

  • A gold price pullback would mechanically reduce bullion's reported share of global reserves even without any central bank selling, since roughly two-thirds of 2025's share gain reflects valuation rather than new buying.
  • A de-escalation in the tensions several buying central banks have cited by name could slow the pace of diversification that has been reinforcing demand.

Historical comparison

  • 2010-2021 annual average: Central banks bought a 2010-2021 annual average of 473 tonnes of gold; 2025's 863.3 tonnes, though down 21% from 2024's 1,092.4 tonnes, remained nearly double that longer-run baseline.
  • Post-1971 reserve system: Gold's 27% share overtaking Treasuries' 22% reverses the pattern that has held since the US ended the dollar's direct convertibility into gold in 1971, after which Treasuries and other dollar assets became the default global reserve holding.

Technical view

TrendDowntrend
RSI (14)26.5
Support₹14,650.60
Resistance₹15,449.66

Price is trading below both its 20-period and 50-period moving averages, a bearish alignment.

Computed from metalscost.com's own stored price history.

Related

Metals gold
Countries PolandKazakhstanTurkeyUnited StatesRussiaBrazil

Frequently Asked Questions

Gold made up 27% of official global reserve assets at the end of 2025, according to the European Central Bank, edging past US Treasuries' 22% share.

About two-thirds of the increase reflects gold's roughly 60% price gain in 2025. Adjusted for that, gold and the euro are roughly tied at 16% each of reserves, with Treasuries still ahead at 26%.

The National Bank of Poland, which added 102 tonnes, its second consecutive year as the largest single buyer, lifting its reserves to 550 tonnes.

Officials in Poland and Kazakhstan have both linked their gold purchases explicitly to geopolitical tensions, following the precedent set when the US and its allies froze roughly $300 billion of Russia's reserves in 2022.

No. Turkey sold and swapped roughly 118 tonnes over two weeks in March 2026 to defend the lira after the Iran conflict escalated, showing gold reserves can be drawn down as quickly as they're built.

Reporting based on information published by European Central Bank. Analysis and interpretation by MetalsCost.

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