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Gold

Gold Holds Near $4,160 as Middle East Attacks Lift Oil and the Dollar

Outlook: Bearish · October 13, 2026
Gold Holds Near $4,160 as Middle East Attacks Lift Oil and the Dollar

Gold traded near $4,160 an ounce on Tuesday after falling 0.5% on Monday, as attacks on energy sites in Saudi Arabia lifted oil prices and the dollar. Traders fear higher energy costs will keep inflation and interest rates high.

At a glance

  • Silver slipped 0.5% to $59.93 an ounce, and platinum and palladium also fell.
  • Brent crude settled at $106.65 a barrel on Monday, its highest since September 15.
  • The US dollar index was near its highest since April last year.

Background

Gold earns no interest, so it tends to fall when higher energy prices raise inflation fears and push expectations of interest rate hikes up. A stronger dollar also makes gold more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

What happened

Gold traded near $4,160 an ounce early on Tuesday, October 13, after ending Monday's session 0.5% lower, Moneycontrol reported. It had touched its highest since October 2 on Monday before giving up those gains.

Silver slipped 0.5% to $59.93 an ounce, while platinum and palladium also declined.

Why it fell

The spreading conflict in the Middle East stoked fears that further disruption to energy supplies could keep inflation high and raise the chance of more interest rate hikes. Traders weighed the risk from attacks on Saudi Arabia.

Brent crude settled at $106.65 a barrel on Monday, its highest since September 15, before easing 0.57% to $106.04 on Tuesday. The US dollar index was at 102.56, hovering near its highest since April last year.

What comes next

Traders are watching US consumer price data due on Wednesday, followed by producer prices and retail sales on Thursday. Hotter inflation would strengthen the case for further Federal Reserve tightening and add to pressure on gold.

Our read

Outlook: bearish. Higher oil prices and a strong dollar keep inflation and rate-hike worries alive, which weighs on gold.

What to watch

  • US consumer price index on Wednesday.
  • Further attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East.
  • The dollar, near its highest since April last year.

For information only, not investment advice.

Gold price in India

Current Price₹14,214.04/g
Day Change-0.21%
Month Change-5.85%
Year Change+11.79%

metalscost.com India reference price as of 2026-10-24.

Detailed analysis

Timeline

  • 2026-10-12: Gold touches its highest since October 2, then closes 0.5% lower.
  • 2026-10-13: Gold trades near $4,160 an ounce.
  • 2026-10-14: US consumer price data is due.

Inflation

Higher oil prices feed inflation fears and expectations of further rate hikes.

Currency Impact

The dollar index near 102.56 makes gold more expensive for other buyers.

Geopolitical Risks

Attacks on energy infrastructure in the Middle East are pushing oil prices up.

What could lift prices

  • Gold touched its highest since October 2 on Monday before falling back.

What could weigh on prices

  • Higher oil prices raise the chance of further rate hikes.
  • The dollar is near its highest since April last year.

Country impact

CountryImpactReason
United StatesHighIts inflation data and Fed policy are the next big test for gold.
Saudi ArabiaMediumAttacks on its energy sites lifted oil prices.

Industry impact

IndustryEffectReason
Gold MiningNegativeLower gold prices reduce miners' margins.
JewelleryPositiveSofter prices help jewellery buyers ahead of the festive season.

Who gains, who loses

  • Jewellery buyers: Gold is cheaper than earlier this month.
  • Gold investors: Prices fell back from Monday's two-week high.

Other ways this could play out

  • If Wednesday's inflation data is softer, gold could recover.
  • If inflation is hotter and oil keeps rising, gold could slip further.

Price risks

  • Escalation in the Middle East could move gold sharply in either direction.
  • Fed rate expectations are the biggest near-term driver.

Technical view

TrendDowntrend
RSI (14)15.1
Support₹14,214.04
Resistance₹15,150.44

Price is trading below both its 20-period and 50-period moving averages, a bearish alignment.

Computed from metalscost.com's own stored price history.

Related

Metals goldsilver

Frequently Asked Questions

Attacks on Middle East energy sites lifted oil and the dollar, raising fears of higher inflation and interest rates.

Gold traded near $4,160 an ounce on October 13, after a 0.5% fall on Monday.

US consumer price data on Wednesday.

Reporting based on information published by Moneycontrol. Analysis and interpretation by MetalsCost.

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